Tuesday, 9 December 2008

Long overdue catch-up

It's been about a month. I've been busy, though - some wins, some losses. This will summarise what's been going on.

First, a handful of sure bets mopping up small amounts of money in my accounts:

1. Deportivo v Elche
Centrebet, 1 £6.35 @ 1.53
SkyBet X £2.16 @ 4.5
SkyBet 2 £1.14 @ 8.5
Centrebet won £9.72, a £0.07 profit.

2. Real Betis v Castellon
Bet365, 1 £13.65 @ 1.66
SkyBet, X £5.66 @ 4
SkyBet, 2 £2.67 @ 8.5
Bet365 won £22.75, a £0.77 profit.

You'll notice two bets placed at the same bookmaker. Big mistake. My SkyBet account is now flagged as an arbitrage account and my available stakes are pitifully low and unusable for sure betting.

3. Konyaspor v Denizlispor
Bet365, Konyaspor -0.5 £4.64 @ 2.1
Sportingbet X2 £5 @ 1.95
Sportingbet won £9.75, a £0.11 profit.

4. Fenerbahce v Ankaraspor
Betdirect, 1 £77.77 @ 1.62
Sportingbet, X2 £45 @ 2.8
Betdirect won £77.77, a £2.86 profit.

Now for something unexpected. I identified a very profitable sure bet in the tennis:
Federer v Roddick, First Set
Unibet, 1 £163.90 @ 1.4
888sport, 2 £55.31 @ 4
This would have netted me about a tenner, but Roddick got injured, meaning that the bet was voided with both bookmakers. Now I had £163.90 in Unibet that I didn't expect and identified another very profitable sure bet:
Hoffenheim v Wolfsburg
Betsafe, <3.5 £152.98 @ 2.25
Unibet, >3.5 £163.9 @ 2.1
In fact, the Betsafe odds were so generous, I deposited a further £50 to bet again against another bookmaker. However, after depositing my money, I was surprised to see that my account was in excess of £200. My Betsafe bet had been cancelled! The reason (after a long email argument about the rights and wrongs of such a practice):

"Betsafe.com reserves the right to declare a bet partly or totally void, at it’s on discretion, if it’s obvious that the bet was placed or accepted due to an error in typing, matchups, odds/prices etc.

This odds was switched around, and opposite of what other bookmakers offered. We also had almost same odds on over/under 2,5 and 3,5, so a case like this we consider as an obvious mistake."


So, I now had a £163.90 bet with no counter bet. I needed to minimise the loss. I joined Bwin with a deposit of £185, getting a £20 bonus for my troubles. The intention was to lay with Bwin, but my maximum stake allowed was only £81.90. So, I joined PinnacleSport too, depositing £110 and getting a £11 bonus.
Bwin, <3.5 £81.9 @ 1.7
Pinnacle, <3.5 £117.72 @ 1.741

Sods law then came into play. If I had done nothing, and been totally ignorant about the Betsafe cancellation, I would have won my Unibet bet and been quids in. As it was, this was the result:
Unibet wins £180.29, a £19.33 loss, but £31 in bonuses added, so a £11.67 profit in real terms.

Betsafe have now flagged my account as an arbitrage account, too.

CompanyMoney InMoney OutProfit
Centrebet£6.35£9.72£3.37
SkyBet£11.63£0-£11.63
Bet365£18.29£22.75£4.46
Sportingbet£50£9.75-£40.25
Betdirect£77.77£125.63£47.86
Unibet£163.90£344.19£180.29
Bwin£81.90£20-£61.90
Pinnacle£117.72£11-£106.72
Total£527.56£543.04£15.48
Overall Profit£461.12

Sunday, 9 November 2008

Catch-up

First, let's catch up on all the sure bets:

1. Ice Hockey, Czech Republic, Liberec v Karlovy Vary
Ladbrokes, under 5.5, £81.95 @ 2.0
Unibet, over 5.5, £79.95 @ 2.05
Unibet won £83.95, a £2 profit.

2. NHL, Anaheim Ducks v Los Angeles Kings
VCBet, over 5.5, £25.50 @ 2.0
Bet365, under 5.5 £24.88 @ 2.05
Bet365 won £26.13, a £0.63 profit.

3. FA Cup, Eastwood Town v Brackley Town
Betway, 1, £25 @ 1.95
SkyBet, X, £13.54 @ 3.6
SkyBet, 2, £8.86 @ 5.5
Betway won £23.75, a £1.35 profit.

4. Annan Athletic v Montrose
888sport, Montrose, £100 @ 2.1
Betdaq, Not Montrose, £104.48 @ 2.03
888sport won £110, Betdaq lost £107.61, a £2.39 profit.

5. Gefle v IF Elfsborg
Ladbrokes, Gefle, £37.48 @ 4.5
Betdaq, Not Gefle, £38.51 @ 4.4
Betdaq won £37.74 (£38.51 less £0.77), a £0.26 profit.

6. Alloa v Stirling
Bet24, Draw, £10 @ 3.65
Betdaq, Not Draw, £10.34 @ 3.55
Betdaq won £10.13 (£10.34 less £0.21), but this has to be offset against a £0.20 charge on the deposit of £10. The money was deposited on the premise of a free bet offer which, on closer scrutiny, was not water-tight, so was declined. Loss of £0.07 on this bet.

7. Chivas v Real Salt Lake
Canbet, Chivas -0.5, £82.68 @ 2.31
Betdirect, Real Salt Lake +0.5, £100 @ 1.91
Betdirect won £90.91, a £8.23 profit.

8. Handball, Eurpoean Women, Gyori v Ikast-Brande
Centrebet, Gyori -3.5, £71.43 @ 2.1
Ladbrokes, Ikast-Brande + 3.5, £75 @ 2.0
Ladbrokes won £75, a £3.57 profit.

9. Sweden, Djurgarden v Trelleborgs
Betdirect, Djurgarden -0.25, £22.23 @ 1.8
Canbet, Trelleborgs, +0.25, £17.32 @ 2.31
Canbet won £22.69, a £0.46 profit.

10. Chornomorets v Vorskla Poltave
SkyBet, Draw, £2.29 @ 3.0
Betfair, Not Draw, £2.44 @ 2.86
Betfair won £2.32 (£2.44 less £0.12), a £0.03 profit.


CompanyMoney InMoney OutProfit
Ladbrokes£156.95£150-£6.95
Unibet£79.95£163.90£83.95
VCBet£25.50£0-£25.50
Bet365£24.88£51.01£26.13
Betway£25£48.75£23.75
SkyBet£24.69£0-£24.69
888sport£100£210£110
Betdaq£0-£97.48-£97.48
Bet24£10.20£0-£10.20
Canbet£100£40.01-£59.99
Betdirect£122.23£190.91£68.68
Centrebet£71.43£0-£71.43
Betfair£0£2.32£2.32
Total£740.83£759.42£18.59
Overall Profit£445.64

Saturday, 1 November 2008

Three more sure bets

Three more sure bets placed before I went on holiday. None of them too big, just using money I already had with the bookmakers rather than depositing more.

1. Football, Spanish Segunda, Hercules v CD Alaves. Unusual bet combo this one; both teams to score with Bet365 £10.98 at 2.1 and NOT both teams to score with Unibet £11.82 at 1.95.
The Unibet bet won £11.23 meaning a £0.25 profit.

2. Football, German third, Kickers Emden v SV Sandhausen. Betdirect under 2.5 goals £27.10 at 2.1 and Unibet over 2.5 goals £29.18 at 1.95.
The Unibet bet won £27.72 meaning a £0.62 profit.

3. Football, Swedish Allsvenskan, Helsingborg v Trelleborg handicap Helsingborg -0.75 with Betdirect £82.43 at 2.0 and Trelleborg +0.5/+1 with Canbet £80.42 at 2.05.
The Canbet bet won £84.44 meaning a £2.01 profit.

CompanyMoney InMoney OutProfit
Bet365£10.98£0-£10.98
Betdirect£109.53£0-£109.53
Unibet£41£79.95£38.95
Canbet£80.42£164.86£84.44
Total£241.93£244.81£2.88
Overall Profit£427.05

Sportingbet free bet email

I got an email from Sportingbet saying that they would refund the first losing bet up to £50 on each of Wednesday's Champions League and Thursday's UEFA cup games. Unfortunately, I didn't read my emails until Thursday, so I missed the first bet. I contacted Sportingbet for comfirnation that this offer was for all customers. Having received the confirmation, I bet £50 on the draw between Braga and Portsmouth at 3.2, with a Betdaq lay of £32.54 at 3.4. The bet combo was designed to give profit if the bet won, or give enough leeway for the bet refund to get profit if the bet lost.
Braga beat Portsmouth 3 : 0, so my bet lost. I added £31.89 (£32.54 less £0.65) to my Betdaq account.

As my Sportingbet bet lost, I got my £50 refunded to my account. I chose to bet on a draw between Stoke and Arsenal at 4.0, with a Betdaq lay of £37.88 at 5.3.
Surprise, surprise. Stoke won 2 : 1. My Sportingbet account is empty. My Betdaq account increases by £37.12 (£37.88 less £0.76).

I received an email during the week saying that Sportingbet were doing another losing bet refund - but I was away on holiday, so couldn't take advantage.

BetSportingbetBetdaqDifference
Initial-£50£31.89-£18.11
Refunded£0£37.12£37.12
Total£19.01
Overall Profit£424.17

Wednesday, 22 October 2008

Betdirect

This should really have appeared bfore the last sure bet because my Betdirect account was funded and qualifying and free bets placed first.

I had a Betdirect account for some time, but never funded it. I got correspondence from their customer service saying that my free bet was still available if I funded and bet according to the free bet Ts and Cs. I deposited £25 and bet on Arsenal to beat Fenerbahce at 2.0 - the lay with Betdaq was £24.27 at 2.08 (£26.21 liability). The free bet would be credited after the qualifying bet was settled.
A stroll in the Turkish park for Arsenal means that I am £1.21 down.

My free bet became available soon after the Arsenal result, so I bet my £25 free bet on another Champions League game, namely Bordeaux v Cfr Cluj-Napoca - the away team to win at odds of 5.0, the necessary lay was £19.69 at 5.1 (£80.73 liability).
1 : 0 to Bordeaux, and a £19.30 profit.

BetBetdirectBetdaqDifference
Qualifying£50-£26.21-£1.21
Free£0£19.30£19.30
Total£18.09
Overall Profit£405.16

Sure bet #8

A quick one, because I had available funds in both bookmakers. A cup game in Finland between Honka Espoo and Tampere Utd. The bet, under 2.5 goals with Betdirect £49.61 at 2.2 and over 2.5 goals with Unibet £59 at 1.85.
The game ended 0 : 0, so my Betdirect account returned £109.14, a £0.53 profit overall.

CompanyMoney InMoney OutProfit
Betdirect£49.61£109.14£59.53
Unibet£59£0-£59
Total£108.61£109.14£0.53
Overall Profit£387.07

Tuesday, 21 October 2008

Sure bet #7

A decent sure bet this one, with profit a little shy of 4%. Asian handicap Porto -0.5/-1.0 £100 @ 2.05 with Skybet against Dynamo Kiev +0.5/+1.0 £97.16 @ 2.11 with Canbet.
Kiev won 1 : 0, so my Canbet account won £107.85.

CompanyMoney InMoney OutProfit
Skybet£100£0-£100
Canbet£97.16£205.01£107.85
Total£197.16£205.01£7.85
Overall Profit£386.54