Friday, 25 December 2009
Monday, 14 December 2009
Thursday, 15 October 2009
The Friend
Guaranteed profit is something that I have been preaching to my work colleagues for some time. As my total continues to mount, interest in the methodology increases.
A friend at work has agreed to be a guinea pig in trying to turn £500 into £1,000 in two weeks. In fact, he has two pots of £500. The first is invested in the stock market, the second is to be invested in risk-free betting. The pot which doubles first is the winner.
So far, he has made £200 profit on the shares (non too shabby!), and is working through a Unibet £20 bonus and earning a £50 Victor Chandler free bet.
Shares £700, Bets £550
A friend at work has agreed to be a guinea pig in trying to turn £500 into £1,000 in two weeks. In fact, he has two pots of £500. The first is invested in the stock market, the second is to be invested in risk-free betting. The pot which doubles first is the winner.
So far, he has made £200 profit on the shares (non too shabby!), and is working through a Unibet £20 bonus and earning a £50 Victor Chandler free bet.
Shares £700, Bets £550
Wednesday, 16 September 2009
Very long overdue catch-up
So long, in fact, the new footy season has started.
I'm almost exclusively arbitrage (sure bet) betting now and I've made quite a lot of money.
Currently £4,419.00 up.
I'm almost exclusively arbitrage (sure bet) betting now and I've made quite a lot of money.
Currently £4,419.00 up.
Tuesday, 9 December 2008
Long overdue catch-up
It's been about a month. I've been busy, though - some wins, some losses. This will summarise what's been going on.
First, a handful of sure bets mopping up small amounts of money in my accounts:
1. Deportivo v Elche
Centrebet, 1 £6.35 @ 1.53
SkyBet X £2.16 @ 4.5
SkyBet 2 £1.14 @ 8.5
Centrebet won £9.72, a £0.07 profit.
2. Real Betis v Castellon
Bet365, 1 £13.65 @ 1.66
SkyBet, X £5.66 @ 4
SkyBet, 2 £2.67 @ 8.5
Bet365 won £22.75, a £0.77 profit.
You'll notice two bets placed at the same bookmaker. Big mistake. My SkyBet account is now flagged as an arbitrage account and my available stakes are pitifully low and unusable for sure betting.
3. Konyaspor v Denizlispor
Bet365, Konyaspor -0.5 £4.64 @ 2.1
Sportingbet X2 £5 @ 1.95
Sportingbet won £9.75, a £0.11 profit.
4. Fenerbahce v Ankaraspor
Betdirect, 1 £77.77 @ 1.62
Sportingbet, X2 £45 @ 2.8
Betdirect won £77.77, a £2.86 profit.
Now for something unexpected. I identified a very profitable sure bet in the tennis:
Federer v Roddick, First Set
Unibet, 1 £163.90 @ 1.4
888sport, 2 £55.31 @ 4
This would have netted me about a tenner, but Roddick got injured, meaning that the bet was voided with both bookmakers. Now I had £163.90 in Unibet that I didn't expect and identified another very profitable sure bet:
Hoffenheim v Wolfsburg
Betsafe, <3.5 £152.98 @ 2.25
Unibet, >3.5 £163.9 @ 2.1
In fact, the Betsafe odds were so generous, I deposited a further £50 to bet again against another bookmaker. However, after depositing my money, I was surprised to see that my account was in excess of £200. My Betsafe bet had been cancelled! The reason (after a long email argument about the rights and wrongs of such a practice):
"Betsafe.com reserves the right to declare a bet partly or totally void, at it’s on discretion, if it’s obvious that the bet was placed or accepted due to an error in typing, matchups, odds/prices etc.
This odds was switched around, and opposite of what other bookmakers offered. We also had almost same odds on over/under 2,5 and 3,5, so a case like this we consider as an obvious mistake."
So, I now had a £163.90 bet with no counter bet. I needed to minimise the loss. I joined Bwin with a deposit of £185, getting a £20 bonus for my troubles. The intention was to lay with Bwin, but my maximum stake allowed was only £81.90. So, I joined PinnacleSport too, depositing £110 and getting a £11 bonus.
Bwin, <3.5 £81.9 @ 1.7
Pinnacle, <3.5 £117.72 @ 1.741
Sods law then came into play. If I had done nothing, and been totally ignorant about the Betsafe cancellation, I would have won my Unibet bet and been quids in. As it was, this was the result:
Unibet wins £180.29, a £19.33 loss, but £31 in bonuses added, so a £11.67 profit in real terms.
Betsafe have now flagged my account as an arbitrage account, too.
First, a handful of sure bets mopping up small amounts of money in my accounts:
1. Deportivo v Elche
Centrebet, 1 £6.35 @ 1.53
SkyBet X £2.16 @ 4.5
SkyBet 2 £1.14 @ 8.5
Centrebet won £9.72, a £0.07 profit.
2. Real Betis v Castellon
Bet365, 1 £13.65 @ 1.66
SkyBet, X £5.66 @ 4
SkyBet, 2 £2.67 @ 8.5
Bet365 won £22.75, a £0.77 profit.
You'll notice two bets placed at the same bookmaker. Big mistake. My SkyBet account is now flagged as an arbitrage account and my available stakes are pitifully low and unusable for sure betting.
3. Konyaspor v Denizlispor
Bet365, Konyaspor -0.5 £4.64 @ 2.1
Sportingbet X2 £5 @ 1.95
Sportingbet won £9.75, a £0.11 profit.
4. Fenerbahce v Ankaraspor
Betdirect, 1 £77.77 @ 1.62
Sportingbet, X2 £45 @ 2.8
Betdirect won £77.77, a £2.86 profit.
Now for something unexpected. I identified a very profitable sure bet in the tennis:
Federer v Roddick, First Set
Unibet, 1 £163.90 @ 1.4
888sport, 2 £55.31 @ 4
This would have netted me about a tenner, but Roddick got injured, meaning that the bet was voided with both bookmakers. Now I had £163.90 in Unibet that I didn't expect and identified another very profitable sure bet:
Hoffenheim v Wolfsburg
Betsafe, <3.5 £152.98 @ 2.25
Unibet, >3.5 £163.9 @ 2.1
In fact, the Betsafe odds were so generous, I deposited a further £50 to bet again against another bookmaker. However, after depositing my money, I was surprised to see that my account was in excess of £200. My Betsafe bet had been cancelled! The reason (after a long email argument about the rights and wrongs of such a practice):
"Betsafe.com reserves the right to declare a bet partly or totally void, at it’s on discretion, if it’s obvious that the bet was placed or accepted due to an error in typing, matchups, odds/prices etc.
This odds was switched around, and opposite of what other bookmakers offered. We also had almost same odds on over/under 2,5 and 3,5, so a case like this we consider as an obvious mistake."
So, I now had a £163.90 bet with no counter bet. I needed to minimise the loss. I joined Bwin with a deposit of £185, getting a £20 bonus for my troubles. The intention was to lay with Bwin, but my maximum stake allowed was only £81.90. So, I joined PinnacleSport too, depositing £110 and getting a £11 bonus.
Bwin, <3.5 £81.9 @ 1.7
Pinnacle, <3.5 £117.72 @ 1.741
Sods law then came into play. If I had done nothing, and been totally ignorant about the Betsafe cancellation, I would have won my Unibet bet and been quids in. As it was, this was the result:
Unibet wins £180.29, a £19.33 loss, but £31 in bonuses added, so a £11.67 profit in real terms.
Betsafe have now flagged my account as an arbitrage account, too.
| Company | Money In | Money Out | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Centrebet | £6.35 | £9.72 | £3.37 |
| SkyBet | £11.63 | £0 | -£11.63 |
| Bet365 | £18.29 | £22.75 | £4.46 |
| Sportingbet | £50 | £9.75 | -£40.25 |
| Betdirect | £77.77 | £125.63 | £47.86 |
| Unibet | £163.90 | £344.19 | £180.29 |
| Bwin | £81.90 | £20 | -£61.90 |
| Pinnacle | £117.72 | £11 | -£106.72 |
| Total | £527.56 | £543.04 | £15.48 |
| Overall Profit | £461.12 | ||
Sunday, 9 November 2008
Catch-up
First, let's catch up on all the sure bets:
1. Ice Hockey, Czech Republic, Liberec v Karlovy Vary
Ladbrokes, under 5.5, £81.95 @ 2.0
Unibet, over 5.5, £79.95 @ 2.05
Unibet won £83.95, a £2 profit.
2. NHL, Anaheim Ducks v Los Angeles Kings
VCBet, over 5.5, £25.50 @ 2.0
Bet365, under 5.5 £24.88 @ 2.05
Bet365 won £26.13, a £0.63 profit.
3. FA Cup, Eastwood Town v Brackley Town
Betway, 1, £25 @ 1.95
SkyBet, X, £13.54 @ 3.6
SkyBet, 2, £8.86 @ 5.5
Betway won £23.75, a £1.35 profit.
4. Annan Athletic v Montrose
888sport, Montrose, £100 @ 2.1
Betdaq, Not Montrose, £104.48 @ 2.03
888sport won £110, Betdaq lost £107.61, a £2.39 profit.
5. Gefle v IF Elfsborg
Ladbrokes, Gefle, £37.48 @ 4.5
Betdaq, Not Gefle, £38.51 @ 4.4
Betdaq won £37.74 (£38.51 less £0.77), a £0.26 profit.
6. Alloa v Stirling
Bet24, Draw, £10 @ 3.65
Betdaq, Not Draw, £10.34 @ 3.55
Betdaq won £10.13 (£10.34 less £0.21), but this has to be offset against a £0.20 charge on the deposit of £10. The money was deposited on the premise of a free bet offer which, on closer scrutiny, was not water-tight, so was declined. Loss of £0.07 on this bet.
7. Chivas v Real Salt Lake
Canbet, Chivas -0.5, £82.68 @ 2.31
Betdirect, Real Salt Lake +0.5, £100 @ 1.91
Betdirect won £90.91, a £8.23 profit.
8. Handball, Eurpoean Women, Gyori v Ikast-Brande
Centrebet, Gyori -3.5, £71.43 @ 2.1
Ladbrokes, Ikast-Brande + 3.5, £75 @ 2.0
Ladbrokes won £75, a £3.57 profit.
9. Sweden, Djurgarden v Trelleborgs
Betdirect, Djurgarden -0.25, £22.23 @ 1.8
Canbet, Trelleborgs, +0.25, £17.32 @ 2.31
Canbet won £22.69, a £0.46 profit.
10. Chornomorets v Vorskla Poltave
SkyBet, Draw, £2.29 @ 3.0
Betfair, Not Draw, £2.44 @ 2.86
Betfair won £2.32 (£2.44 less £0.12), a £0.03 profit.
1. Ice Hockey, Czech Republic, Liberec v Karlovy Vary
Ladbrokes, under 5.5, £81.95 @ 2.0
Unibet, over 5.5, £79.95 @ 2.05
Unibet won £83.95, a £2 profit.
2. NHL, Anaheim Ducks v Los Angeles Kings
VCBet, over 5.5, £25.50 @ 2.0
Bet365, under 5.5 £24.88 @ 2.05
Bet365 won £26.13, a £0.63 profit.
3. FA Cup, Eastwood Town v Brackley Town
Betway, 1, £25 @ 1.95
SkyBet, X, £13.54 @ 3.6
SkyBet, 2, £8.86 @ 5.5
Betway won £23.75, a £1.35 profit.
4. Annan Athletic v Montrose
888sport, Montrose, £100 @ 2.1
Betdaq, Not Montrose, £104.48 @ 2.03
888sport won £110, Betdaq lost £107.61, a £2.39 profit.
5. Gefle v IF Elfsborg
Ladbrokes, Gefle, £37.48 @ 4.5
Betdaq, Not Gefle, £38.51 @ 4.4
Betdaq won £37.74 (£38.51 less £0.77), a £0.26 profit.
6. Alloa v Stirling
Bet24, Draw, £10 @ 3.65
Betdaq, Not Draw, £10.34 @ 3.55
Betdaq won £10.13 (£10.34 less £0.21), but this has to be offset against a £0.20 charge on the deposit of £10. The money was deposited on the premise of a free bet offer which, on closer scrutiny, was not water-tight, so was declined. Loss of £0.07 on this bet.
7. Chivas v Real Salt Lake
Canbet, Chivas -0.5, £82.68 @ 2.31
Betdirect, Real Salt Lake +0.5, £100 @ 1.91
Betdirect won £90.91, a £8.23 profit.
8. Handball, Eurpoean Women, Gyori v Ikast-Brande
Centrebet, Gyori -3.5, £71.43 @ 2.1
Ladbrokes, Ikast-Brande + 3.5, £75 @ 2.0
Ladbrokes won £75, a £3.57 profit.
9. Sweden, Djurgarden v Trelleborgs
Betdirect, Djurgarden -0.25, £22.23 @ 1.8
Canbet, Trelleborgs, +0.25, £17.32 @ 2.31
Canbet won £22.69, a £0.46 profit.
10. Chornomorets v Vorskla Poltave
SkyBet, Draw, £2.29 @ 3.0
Betfair, Not Draw, £2.44 @ 2.86
Betfair won £2.32 (£2.44 less £0.12), a £0.03 profit.
| Company | Money In | Money Out | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes | £156.95 | £150 | -£6.95 |
| Unibet | £79.95 | £163.90 | £83.95 |
| VCBet | £25.50 | £0 | -£25.50 |
| Bet365 | £24.88 | £51.01 | £26.13 |
| Betway | £25 | £48.75 | £23.75 |
| SkyBet | £24.69 | £0 | -£24.69 |
| 888sport | £100 | £210 | £110 |
| Betdaq | £0 | -£97.48 | -£97.48 |
| Bet24 | £10.20 | £0 | -£10.20 |
| Canbet | £100 | £40.01 | -£59.99 |
| Betdirect | £122.23 | £190.91 | £68.68 |
| Centrebet | £71.43 | £0 | -£71.43 |
| Betfair | £0 | £2.32 | £2.32 |
| Total | £740.83 | £759.42 | £18.59 |
| Overall Profit | £445.64 | ||
Saturday, 1 November 2008
Three more sure bets
Three more sure bets placed before I went on holiday. None of them too big, just using money I already had with the bookmakers rather than depositing more.
1. Football, Spanish Segunda, Hercules v CD Alaves. Unusual bet combo this one; both teams to score with Bet365 £10.98 at 2.1 and NOT both teams to score with Unibet £11.82 at 1.95.
The Unibet bet won £11.23 meaning a £0.25 profit.
2. Football, German third, Kickers Emden v SV Sandhausen. Betdirect under 2.5 goals £27.10 at 2.1 and Unibet over 2.5 goals £29.18 at 1.95.
The Unibet bet won £27.72 meaning a £0.62 profit.
3. Football, Swedish Allsvenskan, Helsingborg v Trelleborg handicap Helsingborg -0.75 with Betdirect £82.43 at 2.0 and Trelleborg +0.5/+1 with Canbet £80.42 at 2.05.
The Canbet bet won £84.44 meaning a £2.01 profit.
1. Football, Spanish Segunda, Hercules v CD Alaves. Unusual bet combo this one; both teams to score with Bet365 £10.98 at 2.1 and NOT both teams to score with Unibet £11.82 at 1.95.
The Unibet bet won £11.23 meaning a £0.25 profit.
2. Football, German third, Kickers Emden v SV Sandhausen. Betdirect under 2.5 goals £27.10 at 2.1 and Unibet over 2.5 goals £29.18 at 1.95.
The Unibet bet won £27.72 meaning a £0.62 profit.
3. Football, Swedish Allsvenskan, Helsingborg v Trelleborg handicap Helsingborg -0.75 with Betdirect £82.43 at 2.0 and Trelleborg +0.5/+1 with Canbet £80.42 at 2.05.
The Canbet bet won £84.44 meaning a £2.01 profit.
| Company | Money In | Money Out | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | £10.98 | £0 | -£10.98 |
| Betdirect | £109.53 | £0 | -£109.53 |
| Unibet | £41 | £79.95 | £38.95 |
| Canbet | £80.42 | £164.86 | £84.44 |
| Total | £241.93 | £244.81 | £2.88 |
| Overall Profit | £427.05 | ||
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