Thursday, 11 September 2008

Bet Fredder

I now need to bet 5 lots of £10 at odds of at least 2.0 (Ts and Cs says cumulative, but I would rather avoid the possibility of miscalculation and make each bet viable) to get my next free bet of £50. I have £105 in the BetFred kitty from the qualifying bet win.

First £10 qualifying bet: Cardiff City to beat Bristol City at 2.1 with a corresponding lay stake of £9.77 at 2.2, which is a £11.72 liability and a guaranteed loss of £0.72.
Update (Sunday, 14 September 2008): Stalemate 0 : 0, so the Betfair account improved by £9.28 (£9.77 less £0.49) which is an overall loss of £0.72.

Second £10 qualifying bet: Identified Bordeaux to beat Marseille at 2.38, so laid at 2.52 with a stake of £14.65 THEN BET ON AUXERRE BY MISTAKE! Their odds were the same - so now I still have to bet on Bordeaux and then lay on Auxerre. So, to clarify:

Second £10 qualifying bet: Bordeaux to beat Marseille at 2.38 with a corresponding lay stake of £9.64 at 2.52, which is a £14.65 liability and a guaranteed loss of £0.85.
Update (Sunday, 14 September 2008): A 1 : 1 draw, so the Betfair account improved by £9.16 (£9.64 less £0.48) which is an overall loss of £0.84.

Third £10 qualifying bet: Auxerre to beat Nancy at 2.38 with a corresponding lay stake of £9.41 at 2.58, which is a £14.87 liability and a guaranteed loss of £1.07 - about £0.20 too much. More care needed.
Update (Sunday, 14 September 2008): Another 1 : 1 draw, so the Betfair account improved by £8:94 (£9.41 less £0.47) which is an overall loss of £1.06.

Fourth £10 qualifying bet: Stuttgart to beat Hoffenheim at 2.38 with a corresponding lay stake of £9.79 at 2.48, which is a £14.49 liability and a guaranteed loss of £0.70.
Update (Sunday, 14 September 2008): Another stalemate 0 : 0, so the Betfair account improved by £9.30 (£9.79 less £0.49) which is an overall loss of £0.70.

Fifth £10 qualifying bet: Roma to beat Palermo at 2.2 with two corresponding lay stakes of £5.47 at 2.32, which is an £7.22 liability and £4.18 at 2.34, which is a £5.60 liability and an overall guaranteed loss of £0.82 if Roma win and £0.84 if they don't. Not enough money in the lay to do a single bet.
Update (Sunday, 14 September 2008): Palermo beat Roma 3 : 1, so the Betfair account improved by £9.17 (£9.65 less £0.48) which is an overall loss of £0.83. The cumulative loss is £4.15, which reduces the overall profit to £86.73

No comments: